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Modèle GARCH non linéaire×Modèle ARCH (Hétéroscédasticité Conditionnelle Autorégressive)×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine1991-19931982
Auteur d'origineGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle; Nelson (1991) for EGARCHRobert F. Engle
TypeVolatility modelConditional volatility model
Source fondatriceGlosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
AliasNL-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH, GJR-GARCH, nonlinear volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
Apparentées66
RésuméThe Nonlinear GARCH model extends the standard GARCH framework to capture asymmetric and nonlinear responses of conditional volatility to past shocks. It allows negative returns (bad news) to amplify volatility more than positive returns of equal magnitude, a phenomenon known as the leverage effect, which is empirically pervasive in financial markets.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
ScholarGateJeu de données
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Nonlinear GARCH model · ARCH model. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare