Comparer des méthodes
Examinez les méthodes sélectionnées côte à côte ; les lignes qui diffèrent sont mises en évidence.
| Modèle GARCH non linéaire× | Modèle ARCH (Hétéroscédasticité Conditionnelle Autorégressive)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Domaine | Économétrie | Économétrie |
| Famille | Regression model | Regression model |
| Année d'origine≠ | 1991-1993 | 1982 |
| Auteur d'origine≠ | Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle; Nelson (1991) for EGARCH | Robert F. Engle |
| Type≠ | Volatility model | Conditional volatility model |
| Source fondatrice≠ | Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R., & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the relation between the expected value and the volatility of the nominal excess return on stocks. Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | NL-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH, GJR-GARCH, nonlinear volatility model | ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model |
| Apparentées | 6 | 6 |
| Résumé≠ | The Nonlinear GARCH model extends the standard GARCH framework to capture asymmetric and nonlinear responses of conditional volatility to past shocks. It allows negative returns (bad news) to amplify volatility more than positive returns of equal magnitude, a phenomenon known as the leverage effect, which is empirically pervasive in financial markets. | The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering. |
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