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Modèle de chaîne de Markov en économie de la santé×Modélisation analytique de décision en économie de la santé×
DomaineÉconomie de la santéÉconomie de la santé
FamilleProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Année d'origine19831975
Auteur d'origineBeck & Pauker (medical decision analysis, Massachusetts General Hospital)Pauker & Kassirer (medical decision analysis, Massachusetts General Hospital)
TypeMethodMethod
Source fondatriceBeck, J. R., & Pauker, S. G. (1983). The Markov Process in Medical Prognosis. Medical Decision Making, 3(4), 419-458. DOI ↗Pauker, S. G., & Kassirer, J. P. (1975). Therapeutic Decision Making: A Cost-Benefit Analysis. New England Journal of Medicine, 293(5), 229-234. DOI ↗
AliasMarkov model, state transition model, cohort simulationdecision analysis, decision tree, decision model, health economic model
Apparentées55
RésuméA Markov model is a decision-analytic tool that simulates disease progression through defined health states over time, calculating cumulative costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to enable cost-effectiveness analysis. Developed by Beck and Pauker in 1983, Markov models are now the standard framework for projecting long-term outcomes of health interventions, especially chronic diseases where patients transition between clinical states (treatment response, disease progression, remission, death). Used by health technology assessment bodies and pharmaceutical companies to predict intervention value beyond trial duration.Decision analytic modeling is a systematic framework for comparing health interventions by integrating evidence on probabilities, outcomes, costs, and patient preferences into a quantitative model. Developed by Pauker and Kassirer in 1975, decision analysis structures clinical uncertainty and economic trade-offs, enabling transparent comparison of treatment options and identification of optimal strategies. Used in health technology assessment, clinical practice guideline development, and resource allocation decisions.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Markov Model in Health Economics · Decision Analytic Modeling. Consulté le 2026-06-20 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare