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Modèle de chaîne de Markov en économie de la santé×Analyse Coûts-Bénéfices (ACB)×
DomaineÉconomie de la santéÉconomie de la santé
FamilleProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Année d'origine19831970s
Auteur d'origineBeck & Pauker (medical decision analysis, Massachusetts General Hospital)Boardman, Greenberg, and colleagues (welfare economics)
TypeMethodMethod
Source fondatriceBeck, J. R., & Pauker, S. G. (1983). The Markov Process in Medical Prognosis. Medical Decision Making, 3(4), 419-458. DOI ↗Boardman, A. E., Greenberg, D. H., Vining, A. R., & Weimer, D. L. (2018). Cost-Benefit Analysis: Concepts and Practice (5th ed.). Cambridge: Cambridge University Press. link ↗
AliasMarkov model, state transition model, cohort simulationCBA, economic appraisal, benefit-cost ratio
Apparentées55
RésuméA Markov model is a decision-analytic tool that simulates disease progression through defined health states over time, calculating cumulative costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) to enable cost-effectiveness analysis. Developed by Beck and Pauker in 1983, Markov models are now the standard framework for projecting long-term outcomes of health interventions, especially chronic diseases where patients transition between clinical states (treatment response, disease progression, remission, death). Used by health technology assessment bodies and pharmaceutical companies to predict intervention value beyond trial duration.Cost-benefit analysis compares the total monetary value of benefits produced by a program against its total monetary costs, reporting net present value (NPV) or benefit-cost ratio (BCR). Rooted in welfare economics and used extensively in public policy (transportation, environmental, education, health), CBA answers the question: 'Is this program worth doing from a societal perspective?' Unlike cost-effectiveness analysis, CBA monetizes both costs and benefits, enabling comparison across disparate program types.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Markov Model in Health Economics · Cost-Benefit Analysis. Consulté le 2026-06-20 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare