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Évaluation longitudinale de programme×Analyse de séries chronologiques interrompues (ITS)×
DomaineMéthodes de terrainInférence causale
FamilleProcess / pipelineRegression model
Année d'origine1960s–1970s (program evaluation); longitudinal designs formalized 1970s–1980s2002
Auteur d'originePeter Rossi, Michael Scriven, Donald Campbell (program evaluation tradition)Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
TypeApplied evaluation research designQuasi-experimental segmented regression
Source fondatriceRossi, P. H., Lipsey, M. W., & Freeman, H. E. (2004). Evaluation: A Systematic Approach (7th ed.). Sage Publications. ISBN: 978-0761908944Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
AliasLPE, longitudinal evaluation, long-term program evaluation, prospective program evaluationITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
Apparentées35
RésuméLongitudinal program evaluation is an applied research design that tracks the outcomes and processes of a program or intervention across multiple time points — from pre-implementation baseline through medium- and long-term follow-up. Unlike single-point evaluations, it captures how program effects emerge, fade, or evolve over time, enabling evaluators and funders to judge sustained impact, cost-effectiveness, and unintended consequences that would be invisible in a snapshot assessment.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Longitudinal Program Evaluation · Interrupted Time Series. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare