Vertaile menetelmiä

	Granger-kausaalisuustesti	ARIMA-malli (Autoregressiivinen integroitu liukuva keskiarvo)
Tieteenala	Ekonometria	Ekonometria
Menetelmäperhe	Regression model	Regression model
Syntyvuosi	1969	1970
Kehittäjä	Clive W. J. Granger	George Box and Gwilym Jenkins
Tyyppi	Causality test (F-test on VAR)	Time series forecasting model
Alkuperäislähde	Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438.	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.
Rinnakkaisnimet	Granger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test	ARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)
Liittyvät	5	6
Tiivistelmä	The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis.	The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.