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ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) -malli×TBATS×
TieteenalaEkonometriaEkonometria
MenetelmäperheRegression modelRegression model
Syntyvuosi20152011
KehittäjäBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)De Livera, Hyndman & Snyder
TyyppiUnivariate time-series modelExponential smoothing state space model
AlkuperäislähdeBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021De Livera, A. M., Hyndman, R. J. & Snyder, R. D. (2011). Forecasting Time Series with Complex Seasonal Patterns Using Exponential Smoothing. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 106(496), 1513-1527. DOI ↗
RinnakkaisnimetBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modelitrigonometric exponential smoothing, multiple seasonal exponential smoothing, complex seasonal exponential smoothing, TBATS — Çoklu Mevsimsel Üstel Düzleştirme
Liittyvät53
TiivistelmäARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).TBATS is an innovations state space forecasting model, introduced by De Livera, Hyndman and Snyder (2011), that combines a Box-Cox transformation, ARMA errors and trigonometric (Fourier) seasonal terms. It is built to handle continuous time series with several nested seasonal cycles at once — for example hourly data that also repeats daily, weekly and yearly.
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ScholarGateVertaile menetelmiä: ARIMA · TBATS. Haettu 2026-06-20 osoitteesta https://scholargate.app/fi/compare