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مدل خودرگرسیون برداری ساختاری (SVAR)×آزمون علیت گرنجر×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش19801969
پدیدآورSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)Clive W. J. Granger
نوعMultivariate time series modelCausality test (F-test on VAR)
منبع بنیادینBlanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR modelGranger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test
مرتبط55
خلاصهStructural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis.
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Structural VAR · Granger Causality Test. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare