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مدل خودرگرسیونی برداری با شکست ساختاری (Structural Break VAR Model)×خودبازگشتی برداری (VAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1980–19981980
پدیدآورBai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)Christopher A. Sims
نوعMultivariate time series model with regime changeMultivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادینBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرVAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VARVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
مرتبط65
خلاصهThe Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Structural Break VAR Model · Vector Autoregression. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare