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مدل میانگین متحرک (MA) با شکست ساختاری×آزمون شکست ساختاری زیووت-اندروز×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1989–19921992
پدیدآورPerron (1989); Zivot & Andrews (1992)Eric Zivot and Donald W. K. Andrews
نوعTime series model with structural changeUnit root test with endogenous structural break
منبع بنیادینPerron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361–1401. DOI ↗Zivot, E., & Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251–270. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرMA model with structural change, broken MA model, MA with regime shift, structural break moving averageZA test, Zivot-Andrews unit root test, endogenous structural break unit root test, ZA structural break test
مرتبط56
خلاصهA Moving Average (MA) time series model augmented to accommodate one or more structural breaks — abrupt shifts in the mean, variance, or MA coefficients occurring at known or unknown break dates. Ignoring structural breaks in an MA process inflates forecast errors and distorts inference on the error dynamics.The Zivot-Andrews (ZA) test is a unit root test that endogenously identifies the most likely location of a single structural break in a time series. Unlike the standard ADF test, it does not require the researcher to pre-specify when the break occurred, making it robust to data-driven regime shifts such as policy changes, financial crises, or major economic events.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Structural Break MA Model · Zivot-Andrews Structural Break Test. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare