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مدل ARCH شکست ساختاری×آزمون شکست ساختاری زیووت-اندروز×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1982–19901992
پدیدآورEngle (1982) for ARCH; Lamoureux & Lastrapes (1990) for break-adjusted variance persistenceEric Zivot and Donald W. K. Andrews
نوعVolatility model with regime changeUnit root test with endogenous structural break
منبع بنیادینEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Zivot, E., & Andrews, D. W. K. (1992). Further evidence on the great crash, the oil-price shock, and the unit-root hypothesis. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 10(3), 251–270. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARCH, regime-switching ARCH, SB-ARCHZA test, Zivot-Andrews unit root test, endogenous structural break unit root test, ZA structural break test
مرتبط56
خلاصهThe Structural Break ARCH model extends Engle's (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by explicitly accounting for abrupt, permanent shifts in the conditional variance process. Ignoring structural breaks in variance causes ARCH parameters to appear spuriously persistent, so incorporating break dummies or regime-specific parameters yields more accurate volatility estimates and better model fit.The Zivot-Andrews (ZA) test is a unit root test that endogenously identifies the most likely location of a single structural break in a time series. Unlike the standard ADF test, it does not require the researcher to pre-specify when the break occurred, making it robust to data-driven regime shifts such as policy changes, financial crises, or major economic events.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Structural Break ARCH Model · Zivot-Andrews Structural Break Test. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare