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مدل خودرگرسیون با شکست ساختاری×مدل خودرگرسیونی برداری با شکست ساختاری (Structural Break VAR Model)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1989-20031980–1998
پدیدآورPerron (1989); Bai & Perron (1998, 2003)Bai & Perron (structural breaks); Sims (VAR framework)
نوعTime-series model with structural changeMultivariate time series model with regime change
منبع بنیادینBai, J., & Perron, P. (2003). Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 1-22. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرAR model with structural change, breakpoint AR model, piecewise autoregressive model, AR model with regime shiftsVAR with structural breaks, break-point VAR, regime-switching VAR, SB-VAR
مرتبط66
خلاصهThe structural break AR model extends the standard autoregressive framework by allowing the intercept and autoregressive coefficients to shift at one or more unknown break dates. Each regime between consecutive break points is governed by its own AR parameters, capturing abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series caused by crises, policy shifts, or other shocks.The Structural Break VAR model extends the standard Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework by allowing coefficient matrices and error covariance to shift at one or more unknown break dates. It is designed for multivariate time series where economic relationships change abruptly due to policy shifts, financial crises, or major structural events.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Structural Break AR Model · Structural Break VAR Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare