مقایسهٔ روشها
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| TGARCH مقاوم× | مدل GARCH مقاوم× | |
|---|---|---|
| حوزه | اقتصادسنجی | اقتصادسنجی |
| خانواده | Regression model | Regression model |
| سال پیدایش≠ | 1994–2000s | 1986–2013 |
| پدیدآور≠ | Zakoian (1994) for TGARCH; robust extensions developed through quasi-maximum likelihood and M-estimation literature | Boudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986) |
| نوع≠ | Volatility model with asymmetry and robust estimation | Volatility model |
| منبع بنیادین≠ | Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗ | Boudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗ |
| نامهای دیگر | robust GJR-GARCH, robust threshold GARCH, heavy-tail TGARCH, outlier-robust TGARCH | Robust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility model |
| مرتبط≠ | 6 | 5 |
| خلاصه≠ | Robust TGARCH extends the Threshold GARCH model by replacing the conventional maximum likelihood objective with an estimator that is resistant to heavy-tailed innovations and outlying observations. It captures asymmetric volatility responses — where negative shocks amplify variance more than positive shocks — while remaining reliable when the return distribution deviates strongly from normality. | The Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates. |
| ScholarGateمجموعهداده ↗ |
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