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مدل پانل ARMA×مدل ARMA (میانگین متحرک خودرگرسیو)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1980s–2000s1970
پدیدآورBaltagi, Hsiao and related panel data literatureGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
نوعPanel time series modelTime series model
منبع بنیادینBaltagi, B. H. (2008). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data (4th ed.). John Wiley & Sons. ISBN: 978-0470518861Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗
نام‌های دیگرPanel ARMA, ARMA panel model, panel autoregressive moving average, cross-sectional ARMAARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)
مرتبط55
خلاصهThe Panel ARMA model extends the classical Autoregressive Moving Average (ARMA) framework to panel data, allowing each cross-sectional unit to carry an individual effect while the within-unit error dynamics follow an ARMA(p, q) process. It captures both autocorrelation and moving-average dependence in panel residuals, yielding efficient estimates when the error structure is correctly specified.The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Panel ARMA model · ARMA model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare