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مدل خودرگرسیون برداری غیرخطی (Nonlinear VAR Model)×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری ساختاری (SVAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1990s–2000s1980
پدیدآورTsay (1998); Krolzig (1997); Tong (1990) for threshold frameworkSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
نوعMultivariate nonlinear time series modelMultivariate time series model
منبع بنیادینTsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and modeling multivariate threshold models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188–1202. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
نام‌های دیگرNLVAR, nonlinear vector autoregression, threshold VAR, TVARSVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
مرتبط45
خلاصهThe Nonlinear VAR (NLVAR) model extends the standard vector autoregression by allowing the dynamic relationships among multiple time series to switch or change smoothly depending on an observed threshold variable, a latent regime state, or a smooth transition function. It is used when economic systems exhibit asymmetric responses, regime shifts, or state-dependent dynamics that a linear VAR cannot capture.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Nonlinear VAR Model · Structural VAR. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare