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آزمون علیت گرنجر غیرخطی×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری غیرخطی (Nonlinear VAR Model)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1992-20061990s–2000s
پدیدآورBaek & Brock (1992); Hiemstra & Jones (1994); Diks & Panchenko (2006)Tsay (1998); Krolzig (1997); Tong (1990) for threshold framework
نوعNonparametric causality testMultivariate nonlinear time series model
منبع بنیادینDiks, C., & Panchenko, V. (2006). A new statistic and practical guidelines for nonparametric Granger causality testing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 30(9-10), 1647-1669. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and modeling multivariate threshold models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188–1202. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرnonlinear causality test, BDS-based causality, Diks-Panchenko test, nonparametric Granger causalityNLVAR, nonlinear vector autoregression, threshold VAR, TVAR
مرتبط64
خلاصهNonlinear Granger causality extends the classic linear Granger causality framework to detect predictive relationships that operate through nonlinear dynamics. Using nonparametric or semi-parametric statistics based on correlation integrals or kernel density estimation, it identifies whether past values of one variable improve forecasts of another beyond what any linear model can capture.The Nonlinear VAR (NLVAR) model extends the standard vector autoregression by allowing the dynamic relationships among multiple time series to switch or change smoothly depending on an observed threshold variable, a latent regime state, or a smooth transition function. It is used when economic systems exhibit asymmetric responses, regime shifts, or state-dependent dynamics that a linear VAR cannot capture.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Nonlinear Granger Causality · Nonlinear VAR Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare