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مدل رژیم-سوئیچینگ مارکوف (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری (VAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش19892005
پدیدآورHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
نوعRegime-switching time series modelMultivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادینHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
مرتبط54
خلاصهThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Markov-Switching Model · VAR Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-18 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare