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مدل ARCH فوریه×مدل ARCH شکست ساختاری×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش2010s1982–1990
پدیدآورExtends Engle (1982) ARCH framework with Fourier terms following Enders & Lee (2012)Engle (1982) for ARCH; Lamoureux & Lastrapes (1990) for break-adjusted variance persistence
نوعVolatility model with smooth structural changeVolatility model with regime change
منبع بنیادینEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرFourier-ARCH, F-ARCH, ARCH with Fourier terms, Fourier smooth transition ARCHARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARCH, regime-switching ARCH, SB-ARCH
مرتبط65
خلاصهThe Fourier ARCH model extends the classical ARCH framework by incorporating trigonometric (Fourier) terms into the conditional variance equation. This allows the model to capture smooth, gradual shifts in volatility dynamics over time without assuming abrupt structural breaks, making it well-suited for long financial or macroeconomic time series subject to slowly evolving regime changes.The Structural Break ARCH model extends Engle's (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by explicitly accounting for abrupt, permanent shifts in the conditional variance process. Ignoring structural breaks in variance causes ARCH parameters to appear spuriously persistent, so incorporating break dummies or regime-specific parameters yields more accurate volatility estimates and better model fit.
ScholarGateمجموعه‌داده
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  1. v1
  2. 2 منابع
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Fourier ARCH Model · Structural Break ARCH Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare