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تجزیه واریانس خطای پیش‌بینی (FEVD)×تابع واکنش ضربه (IRF)×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری (VAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش200520052005
پدیدآورHelmut LütkepohlHelmut LütkepohlLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
نوعMultivariate time series analysis toolPost-estimation diagnosticMultivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادینLütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. ISBN: 978-3-540-40172-8Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرVariance Decomposition, Error Variance Decomposition, VD Analysis, Varyans AyrıştırmasıIRF, Dynamic Multiplier, Shock Response Function, Etki Tepki Fonksiyonuvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
مرتبط334
خلاصهForecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) is a multivariate time series technique used within Vector Autoregression (VAR) frameworks to quantify what proportion of the forecast error variance of each variable is attributable to shocks from every other variable in the system. It is widely used by econometricians, macroeconomists, and financial researchers to assess the relative importance of different structural disturbances in driving short-run and long-run fluctuations across interconnected economic series.The Impulse Response Function (IRF) traces the dynamic response of each variable in a Vector Autoregression (VAR) system to a one-unit shock in one of its error terms over a user-specified forecast horizon. It is the primary tool for structural analysis following VAR estimation and is widely used in macroeconomics, monetary economics, and finance to quantify how shocks propagate through interconnected time series systems.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: FEVD · Impulse Response Function · VAR Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare