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مدل خودرگرسیون برداری عامل-افزوده (FAVAR)×مدل رژیم-سوئیچینگ مارکوف (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×رگرسیون حداقل مربعات معمولی (OLS)×Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش2005198920191998
پدیدآورBernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexesHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresTsay (multivariate threshold modelling)
نوعMultivariate time-series modelRegime-switching time series modelLinear regressionNonlinear multivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادینBernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرfactor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR)regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuTVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR
مرتبط4555
خلاصهFAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once.The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: FAVAR · Markov-Switching Model · OLS Regression · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-18 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare