مقایسهٔ روشها
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| مدل نمایی GARCH (EGARCH)× | مدل خودرگرسیون شرطی تعمیمیافته ناهمسانی (GARCH)× | رگرسیون حداقل مربعات معمولی (OLS)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| حوزه | اقتصادسنجی | اقتصادسنجی | اقتصادسنجی |
| خانواده | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| سال پیدایش≠ | 1991 | 1986 | 2019 |
| پدیدآور≠ | Nelson | Tim Bollerslev | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares |
| نوع≠ | Conditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant) | Conditional volatility model | Linear regression |
| منبع بنیادین≠ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 |
| نامهای دیگر | exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH | GARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu |
| مرتبط≠ | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| خلاصه≠ | EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance. | GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns. | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). |
| ScholarGateمجموعهداده ↗ |
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