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ارزیابی پویای تأثیر پادواقعی×مدل ساختاری حاشیه‌ای (MSM)×
حوزهاستنتاج علّیاستنتاج علّی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1986–20092000
پدیدآورRobins (1986); Lechner (2009) for sequential treatment settingsJames M. Robins, Miguel A. Hernan, Babette Brumback
نوعCausal inference / program evaluationCausal model / semiparametric weighting
منبع بنیادینRobins, J. M. (1986). A new approach to causal inference in mortality studies with a sustained exposure period — application to control of the healthy worker survivor effect. Mathematical Modelling, 7(9-12), 1393-1512. DOI ↗Robins, J. M., Hernan, M. A., & Brumback, B. (2000). Marginal structural models and causal inference in epidemiology. Epidemiology, 11(5), 550-560. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرdynamic CIE, dynamic treatment evaluation, time-varying counterfactual analysis, longitudinal counterfactual evaluationMSM, MSM-IPTW, marginal structural Cox model, weighted structural model
مرتبط65
خلاصهDynamic Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (dynamic CIE) extends standard counterfactual program evaluation to settings where treatment is assigned sequentially across multiple periods. Rather than comparing a single treated versus untreated state, it estimates the causal effect of entire treatment trajectories or regimes, accounting for how intermediate outcomes and time-varying covariates feed back into subsequent treatment decisions.A marginal structural model is a causal modeling framework designed to estimate the effect of a time-varying treatment in the presence of time-varying confounders that are themselves affected by prior treatment. By reweighting observations with inverse probability of treatment weights, MSMs create a pseudo-population in which confounding is eliminated, enabling unbiased estimation of causal treatment contrasts even when standard regression adjustments would fail.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Dynamic Counterfactual Impact Evaluation · Marginal Structural Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare