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مدل DCC-GARCH (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)×مدل GARCH (پیش‌بینی نوسانات)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش20021986
پدیدآورRobert F. EngleTim Bollerslev
نوعMultivariate volatility modelConditional volatility model
منبع بنیادینEngle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
مرتبط55
خلاصهThe DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: DCC-GARCH model · GARCH Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-19 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare