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آزمون CUSUM: تشخیص ناپایداری پارامتر در مدل‌های رگرسیون×آزمون شکست ساختاری چندگانه بای-پرون×آزمون چاو برای گسست سازه‌ای×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهHypothesis testHypothesis testRegression model
سال پیدایش197519981960
پدیدآورBrown, Durbin & EvansJushan Bai & Pierre PerronGregory C. Chow
نوعRecursive residual testSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaksTest for structural break in regression coefficients
منبع بنیادینBrown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 37(2), 149–192. DOI ↗Bai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Chow, G. C. (1960). Tests of equality between sets of coefficients in two linear regressions. Econometrica, 28(3), 591–605. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرCumulative Sum Test, CUSUMSQ Test, Brown-Durbin-Evans Test, Kümülatif Toplam TestiBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma TestiChow breakpoint test, structural break test, Chow yapısal kırılma testi
مرتبط322
خلاصهThe CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) and CUSUMSQ (Cumulative Sum of Squares) tests, introduced by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975), assess whether the coefficients of a linear regression model remain constant over time. They are standard tools in econometrics for detecting structural breaks, policy shifts, or regime changes in time-series data without requiring prior knowledge of when a break occurs.The Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.The Chow test, introduced by Gregory Chow in 1960, checks whether the coefficients of a linear regression are the same across two subsamples — that is, whether a structural break occurs at a known point such as a policy change, crisis, or regime shift. It compares the fit of a single pooled regression with the combined fit of two separate regressions; a large improvement from splitting indicates the relationship differs between the two periods or groups.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: CUSUM Test · Bai-Perron Test · Chow Test. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-19 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare