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مدل آریما (میانگین متحرک یکپارچه خودرگرسیو)×مدل SARIMA (Seasonal ARIMA)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش20152015
پدیدآورBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Box & Jenkins (seasonal extension of ARIMA)
نوعUnivariate time-series modelSeasonal time-series model
منبع بنیادینBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Box, G.E.P., Jenkins, G.M., Reinsel, G.C. & Ljung, G.M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
نام‌های دیگرBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeliseasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, SARIMA — Mevsimsel ARIMA
مرتبط55
خلاصهARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).SARIMA is a seasonal extension of the Box-Jenkins ARIMA model that adds seasonal differencing and seasonal autoregressive and moving-average terms. Developed within the Box, Jenkins, Reinsel and Ljung framework (5th edition, 2015), it forecasts series whose pattern repeats on a yearly, monthly, or weekly period.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: ARIMA · SARIMA. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare