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مدل آریما (میانگین متحرک یکپارچه خودرگرسیو)×استدلال مبتنی بر مورد (CBR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیمحاسبات نرم
خانوادهRegression modelMachine learning
سال پیدایش20151994
پدیدآورBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)Janet Kolodner; Agnar Aamodt & Enric Plaza (R4 cycle)
نوعUnivariate time-series modelExperience-based (analogical) problem solving
منبع بنیادینBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021Aamodt, A., & Plaza, E. (1994). Case-based reasoning: Foundational issues, methodological variations, and system approaches. AI Communications, 7(1), 39–59. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA ModeliCBR, case-based reasoning cycle, analogy-based reasoning, vaka tabanlı akıl yürütme
مرتبط52
خلاصهARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).Case-based reasoning solves a new problem by retrieving similar problems solved in the past and adapting their solutions, rather than reasoning from first principles or a trained statistical model. Formalized as the Retrieve-Reuse-Revise-Retain cycle by Aamodt and Plaza in 1994 and popularized by Janet Kolodner, CBR mirrors how human experts in medicine, law, and engineering reason by analogy from remembered cases, and it learns simply by storing each newly solved case.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: ARIMA · Case-Based Reasoning. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-18 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare