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APARCH×مدل GARCH (پیش‌بینی نوسانات)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش19931986
پدیدآورDing, Granger & EngleTim Bollerslev
نوعConditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility model
منبع بنیادینDing, Z., Granger, C. W. J., & Engle, R. F. (1993). A long memory property of stock market returns and a new model. Journal of Empirical Finance, 1(1), 83–106. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرAsymmetric Power ARCH, Power ARCH, APGARCH, Asimetrik Güç ARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
مرتبط35
خلاصهAPARCH, introduced by Ding, Granger, and Engle (1993) while studying long-memory properties of stock market returns, extends the GARCH family by allowing both the power transformation of conditional volatility and an asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks. The model nests at least seven well-known ARCH-type specifications as special cases, making it a unifying framework for volatility modelling in financial econometrics.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: APARCH · GARCH Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare