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Riskiväärtus (VaR)×Generaliseeritud Autoregressiivne Tingimuslik Heteroskedastilisus (GARCH)×
ValdkondRahandusÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta20071986
LoojaJorion (textbook benchmark); popularised by RiskMetrics / J.P. MorganTim Bollerslev
TüüpFinancial risk measureConditional volatility model
AlgallikasJorion, P. (2007). Value at Risk: The New Benchmark for Managing Financial Risk (3rd ed.). McGraw-Hill. ISBN: 978-0071464956Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedVaR, value-at-risk, delta-normal VaR, historical simulation VaRGARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli
Seotud55
KokkuvõteValue at Risk is a financial risk measure that estimates the maximum loss a position or portfolio could suffer over a fixed holding period at a given confidence level. It is the standard benchmark in risk management and regulatory capital calculations, developed in the textbook tradition of Jorion (2007) and the Basel market-risk framework.GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Value at Risk · GARCH. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare