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Aegmuutuvate parameetritega GARCH-mudel (TVP-GARCH)×EGARCH-mudel (Exponential GARCH)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1982–20131991
LoojaEngle (1982) for ARCH/GARCH foundation; extended by Creal, Koopman & Lucas (2013) and others for time-varying parameter variantsDaniel B. Nelson
TüüpVolatility model with time-varying coefficientsVolatility / conditional variance model
AlgallikasEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedTVP-GARCH, time-varying GARCH, TV-GARCH, state-space GARCHExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Seotud56
KokkuvõteThe Time-Varying Parameter GARCH model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing the conditional variance parameters — including the ARCH and GARCH coefficients — to change over time rather than remaining fixed throughout the sample. This makes it well-suited to financial and macroeconomic series where volatility dynamics evolve across different market regimes or economic episodes.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Time-varying parameter GARCH model · EGARCH model. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare