Võrdle meetodeid
Vaata valitud meetodeid kõrvuti; erinevad read on esile tõstetud.
| Realiseeritud volatiilsus ja HAR-mudel× | Johanseni kointegratsioonitest ja vektori veaparanduse mudel× | Pikajärjestikused mudelid (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valdkond | Rahandus | Rahandus | Rahandus |
| Perekond | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tekkeaasta≠ | 2009 | 1991 | 1980 |
| Looja≠ | Corsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility) | Søren Johansen | Granger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH) |
| Tüüp≠ | Time-series regression of realized variance | Multivariate cointegration / vector error correction model | Fractionally integrated time series model |
| Algallikas≠ | Corsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗ | Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗ | Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗ |
| Rööpnimetused | realized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RV | Johansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegration | ARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration |
| Seotud≠ | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| Kokkuvõte≠ | Realized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction. | The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium. | Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration. |
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