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Realiseeritud volatiilsus ja HAR-mudel×Johanseni kointegratsioonitest ja vektori veaparanduse mudel×Pikajärjestikused mudelid (ARFIMA, FIGARCH)×
ValdkondRahandusRahandusRahandus
PerekondRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta200919911980
LoojaCorsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility)Søren JohansenGranger & Joyeux (ARFIMA); Baillie, Bollerslev & Mikkelsen (FIGARCH)
TüüpTime-series regression of realized varianceMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelFractionally integrated time series model
AlgallikasCorsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. & Joyeux, R. (1980). An Introduction to Long-Memory Time Series Models and Fractional Differencing. Journal of Time Series Analysis, 1(1), 15-29. DOI ↗
Rööpnimetusedrealized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RVJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationARFIMA, FIGARCH, fractionally integrated models, fractional integration
Seotud534
KokkuvõteRealized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction.The Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.Long-memory models are fractional-integration methods that capture genuine long memory through a hyperbolically decaying autocorrelation structure. ARFIMA, introduced by Granger and Joyeux (1980), models long memory in return series, while FIGARCH, introduced by Baillie, Bollerslev and Mikkelsen (1996), captures long memory in volatility series; the parameter d measures the degree of fractional integration.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Realized Volatility · Johansen Cointegration Test · Long-Memory Models. Loetud 2026-06-19 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare