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Mittelineaarne VAR-mudel×Vektoriirrepankäitumise mudel (VECM)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1990s–2000s1987
LoojaTsay (1998); Krolzig (1997); Tong (1990) for threshold frameworkRobert F. Engle and Clive W. J. Granger
TüüpMultivariate nonlinear time series modelMultivariate time-series model
AlgallikasTsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and modeling multivariate threshold models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188–1202. DOI ↗Engle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedNLVAR, nonlinear vector autoregression, threshold VAR, TVARVECM, error correction VAR, cointegrated VAR, vector equilibrium correction model
Seotud45
KokkuvõteThe Nonlinear VAR (NLVAR) model extends the standard vector autoregression by allowing the dynamic relationships among multiple time series to switch or change smoothly depending on an observed threshold variable, a latent regime state, or a smooth transition function. It is used when economic systems exhibit asymmetric responses, regime shifts, or state-dependent dynamics that a linear VAR cannot capture.The Vector Error Correction Model extends the Vector Autoregression (VAR) framework to a system of variables that share one or more long-run equilibrium relationships. It jointly models short-run dynamics and the speed at which each variable corrects back toward equilibrium after a shock, making it the standard tool for analysing cointegrated multivariate time series.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Nonlinear VAR Model · Vector Error Correction Model. Loetud 2026-06-15 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare