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Mitte lineaarne autoregressiivne (NAR) mudel×Mitte lineaarne ARDL (NARDL) mudel×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1978-19902014
LoojaTong, H. (threshold AR); Terasvirta, T. (STAR variant)Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo
TüüpNonlinear time series modelNonlinear cointegration model
AlgallikasTong, H. (1990). Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780198522201Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗
RööpnimetusedNAR model, nonlinear autoregression, NLAR, threshold autoregressive modelNARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model
Seotud65
KokkuvõteThe Nonlinear AR model extends the classical autoregressive framework by allowing the mapping from past values to the current value to follow an arbitrary or regime-switching nonlinear function. Major families include the Self-Exciting Threshold AR (SETAR), Smooth Transition AR (STAR), and neural network AR, each capturing different forms of asymmetry, regime shifts, or smooth nonlinear dynamics in univariate time series.The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Nonlinear AR Model · Nonlinear ARDL. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare