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Mitte lineaarne autoregressiivne (NAR) mudel×Autoregressiivne mudel (AR)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1978-19901970s (popularised 1976)
LoojaTong, H. (threshold AR); Terasvirta, T. (STAR variant)George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TüüpNonlinear time series modelTime series model
AlgallikasTong, H. (1990). Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780198522201Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
RööpnimetusedNAR model, nonlinear autoregression, NLAR, threshold autoregressive modelAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Seotud66
KokkuvõteThe Nonlinear AR model extends the classical autoregressive framework by allowing the mapping from past values to the current value to follow an arbitrary or regime-switching nonlinear function. Major families include the Self-Exciting Threshold AR (SETAR), Smooth Transition AR (STAR), and neural network AR, each capturing different forms of asymmetry, regime shifts, or smooth nonlinear dynamics in univariate time series.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Nonlinear AR Model · Autoregressive model. Loetud 2026-06-17 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare