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Autoregressiivne mudel (AR)×Vektorautoregressioon (VAR)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1970s (popularised 1976)1980
LoojaGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsChristopher A. Sims
TüüpTime series modelMultivariate time-series model
AlgallikasBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR processVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
Seotud65
KokkuvõteAn autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Autoregressive model · Vector Autoregression. Loetud 2026-06-17 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare