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ARIMA mudel (autoregressiivne integreeritud libisev keskmine)×Autoregressiivne mudel (AR)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta19701970s (popularised 1976)
LoojaGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TüüpTime series forecasting modelTime series model
AlgallikasBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
RööpnimetusedARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)AR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Seotud66
KokkuvõteThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: ARIMA model · Autoregressive model. Loetud 2026-06-17 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare