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Método de Control Sintético para la Evaluación de Políticas×Emparejamiento por Puntuación de Propensión×
CampoInferencia causalEstadística para la investigación
FamiliaRegression modelProcess / pipeline
Año de origen2003-20101983
Autor originalAlberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal; extended by Abadie, Diamond & HainmuellerPaul Rosenbaum and Donald Rubin
TipoCausal inference / comparative case studyMethod
Fuente seminalAbadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗Rosenbaum, P. R., & Rubin, D. B. (1983). The central role of the propensity score in observational studies for causal effects. Biometrika, 70(1), 41–55. DOI ↗
AliasSynthetic Control Method, SCM, Synthetic Control, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller methodPSM, propensity score weighting, covariate balance
Relacionados53
ResumenThe Synthetic Control Method (SCM) is a causal inference technique for evaluating the effect of a policy or intervention on a single treated unit — such as a region, country, or firm — by constructing a weighted combination of untreated comparison units that closely mirrors the treated unit before the intervention. Introduced by Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003) and formalized by Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller (2010), it provides a data-driven, transparent counterfactual for comparative case studies.Propensity score matching (PSM) is a method for reducing confounding bias in observational studies by balancing baseline characteristics between treatment groups, simulating randomization. Developed by Rosenbaum and Rubin (1983), it estimates the probability of receiving treatment given observed covariates, then matches or weights treated and control individuals with similar treatment probabilities. Widely used in medicine, epidemiology, and policy evaluation when randomized trials are infeasible or unethical, enabling estimation of treatment effects while controlling for selection bias.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Policy Evaluation Synthetic Control Method · Propensity Score Matching. Recuperado el 2026-06-18 de https://scholargate.app/es/compare