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Prueba de Cointegración de Johansen y Modelo de Corrección de Errores Vectorial×Modelo ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)×
CampoFinanzasEconometría
FamiliaRegression modelRegression model
Año de origen19912015
Autor originalSøren JohansenBox & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
TipoMultivariate cointegration / vector error correction modelUnivariate time-series model
Fuente seminalJohansen, S. (1991). Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Cointegration Vectors in Gaussian Vector Autoregressive Models. Econometrica, 59(6), 1551-1580. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
AliasJohansen test, VECM, vector error correction model, multivariate cointegrationBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
Relacionados35
ResumenThe Johansen procedure is a multivariate cointegration framework, introduced by Søren Johansen in 1991, that tests for long-run equilibrium relationships among several I(1) time series. It determines how many cointegrating vectors link the series and then builds a Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to describe the short-run dynamics around that equilibrium.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Johansen Cointegration Test · ARIMA. Recuperado el 2026-06-18 de https://scholargate.app/es/compare