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Modelo autorregresivo (AR)×Modelo ARDL no lineal (NARDL)×
CampoEconometríaEconometría
FamiliaRegression modelRegression model
Año de origen1970s (popularised 1976)2014
Autor originalGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsShin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo
TipoTime series modelNonlinear cointegration model
Fuente seminalBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link ↗
AliasAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR processNARDL, nonlinear bounds test, asymmetric ARDL, asymmetric cointegration model
Relacionados65
ResumenAn autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.The Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing the regressor into cumulative positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a variable exert different effects on the outcome — a feature especially relevant in financial and energy economics where positive and negative shocks rarely cancel out symmetrically.
ScholarGateConjunto de datos
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  1. v1
  2. 2 Fuentes
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Autoregressive model · Nonlinear ARDL. Recuperado el 2026-06-19 de https://scholargate.app/es/compare