Process / pipelineTarama ve gözlemsel desen
Bayesian Confirmatory Research — Bayesian Hypothesis Testing
Bayesian confirmatory research is a quantitative framework that tests pre-specified hypotheses by computing the Bayes factor — a ratio expressing how much more likely the observed data are under one hypothesis than another. Unlike classical null-hypothesis significance testing (NHST), it provides direct evidence for both the alternative and the null hypothesis, supports optional stopping rules under certain conditions, and updates prior beliefs with observed data through Bayes' theorem.
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Sources
- Rouder, J. N., Speckman, P. L., Sun, D., Morey, R. D., & Iverson, G. (2009). Bayesian t tests for accepting and rejecting the null hypothesis. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 16(2), 225–237. DOI: 10.3758/PBR.16.2.225 ↗
- Wagenmakers, E.-J., Marsman, M., Jamil, T., Ly, A., Verhagen, A. J., Love, J., Selker, R., Gronau, Q. F., Smira, M., Epskamp, S., Matzke, D., Rouder, J. N., & Morey, R. D. (2018). Bayesian inference for psychology. Part I: Theoretical advantages and practical ramifications. Psychonomic Bulletin & Review, 25(1), 35–57. DOI: 10.3758/s13423-017-1343-3 ↗