Peace Duration Analysis
Peace duration analysis applies survival (time-to-event) methods to study how long peace lasts after a conflict ends and what makes it endure or collapse. The unit is the post-conflict peace spell, observed from a settlement or cessation until conflict recurs or the observation is censored. Modeling the hazard that peace fails as a function of how the conflict ended and the structural conditions — as in Hartzell and Hoddie's (2003) study of power-sharing after civil war — reveals which arrangements, such as institutionalized power sharing or peacekeeping, lengthen the survival of peace.
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Sources
- Hartzell, C., & Hoddie, M. (2003). Institutionalizing peace: Power sharing and post-civil war conflict management. American Journal of Political Science, 47(2), 318–332. DOI: 10.1111/1540-5907.00022 ↗
How to cite this page
ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Survival Analysis of the Duration of Peace after Conflict. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/en/international-relations/peace-duration-analysis
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