Spatial Conflict Analysis
Spatial conflict analysis models armed conflict while taking geography seriously: conflict is not randomly scattered but clusters in space, and a place's risk depends on its neighbors. Building on georeferenced data and spatial-statistical methods — as in Ward and Gleditsch's (2002) MCMC approach to the spatial context of war and peace — it uses spatial weights, tests for spatial autocorrelation, and fits spatial regression models so that conflict, peace, and their predictors are analyzed as interdependent across locations rather than as isolated observations.
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Sources
- Ward, M. D., & Gleditsch, K. S. (2002). Location, location, location: An MCMC approach to modeling the spatial context of war and peace. Political Analysis, 10(3), 244–260. DOI: 10.1093/pan/10.3.244 ↗
How to cite this page
ScholarGate. (2026, June 22). Spatial Analysis and Modeling of Armed Conflict. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/en/international-relations/spatial-conflict-analysis
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