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Offender-Based Transition Matrix/Evidence
Method evidence record

Offender-Based Transition Matrix

An offender-based transition matrix describes the probability that an offender's next offense is of a particular crime type given the type of the current offense. Introduced to criminology by Blumstein, Cohen, Das, and Moitra in 1988, it treats each individual's ordered sequence of offenses as a Markov-style process and asks the central question of the specialization-versus-versatility debate: do offenders tend to repeat the same kind of crime, or do they switch freely across crime types?

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Source record

Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.

Offender-Based Transition Matrix Analysis of Crime-Type Switching
Taxonomic method record · process-pipeline / criminology
  • Blumstein, A., Cohen, J., Das, S., & Moitra, S. D. (1988). Specialization and seriousness during adult criminal careers. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 4(4), 303–345. · DOI 10.1007/BF01065086
  • Paternoster, R., Brame, R., Piquero, A., Mazerolle, P., & Dean, C. W. (1998). The forward specialization coefficient: Distributional properties and subgroup differences. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 14(2), 133–154. · DOI 10.1023/A:1023096419348
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Related methods

Generated from the method graph and shown as machine-suggested relations — no evidence claim is inferred.

Same method familyCriminal Career Paradigmmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Used in the same domainCriminal Trajectory Clusteringmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Used in the same domainGroup-Based Trajectory Modelmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.

Evidence status

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Bibliographic sources are present. Claim-level evidence review has not been performed.

Sources

2 recorded citations, copied from the method source record.

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