Machine Learning-Augmented Synthetic Control Method
The machine learning-augmented synthetic control method extends the classical synthetic control estimator by using penalized regression or other ML algorithms — such as lasso, ridge, or random forests — to construct the donor weights and to model pre-treatment outcome trajectories. The augmentation corrects for residual imbalance left by the standard weighting step, yielding lower bias when no perfect synthetic control exists.
Source record
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- Ben-Michael, E., Feller, A., & Rothstein, J. (2021). The augmented synthetic control method. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 116(536), 1789-1803. · DOI 10.1080/01621459.2021.1929245
- Abadie, A. (2021). Using synthetic controls: Feasibility, data requirements, and methodological aspects. Journal of Economic Literature, 59(2), 391-425. · DOI 10.1257/jel.20191450
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