Method evidence record
Bayesian MA model
The Bayesian MA model estimates a moving average time series model within a fully Bayesian framework, placing prior distributions on the MA parameters and error variance and updating them via Bayes' theorem. This approach yields full posterior distributions over model parameters and produces probabilistic forecasts with coherent uncertainty quantification.
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Bayesian Moving Average Model
Taxonomic method record · regression-model / econometrics
- West, M., & Harrison, J. (1997). Bayesian Forecasting and Dynamic Models (2nd ed.). Springer. · ISBN 978-0387947259
- Geweke, J., & Meese, R. (1981). Estimating regression models of finite but unknown order. International Economic Review, 22(1), 55–70. · URL
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