Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Moving Average (MA) Model

The Moving Average model of order q — written MA(q) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear combination of the current and past random shocks (innovations). Unlike the AR model which uses lagged values of the series itself, the MA model uses lagged error terms, making it well-suited for capturing short-lived disturbances that dissipate over q periods.

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Sources

  1. Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744
  2. Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time Series Analysis. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 978-0691042893

Related methods

Referenced by

ScholarGateMoving Average Model (Moving Average Time Series Model). Retrieved 2026-06-04 from https://scholargate.app/en/econometrics/moving-average-model