Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Structural Break AR Model

The structural break AR model extends the standard autoregressive framework by allowing the intercept and autoregressive coefficients to shift at one or more unknown break dates. Each regime between consecutive break points is governed by its own AR parameters, capturing abrupt changes in the dynamics of a time series caused by crises, policy shifts, or other shocks.

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Sources

  1. Bai, J., & Perron, P. (2003). Computation and analysis of multiple structural change models. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 18(1), 1-22. DOI: 10.1002/jae.659
  2. Perron, P. (1989). The great crash, the oil price shock, and the unit root hypothesis. Econometrica, 57(6), 1361-1401. DOI: 10.2307/1913712

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Referenced by

ScholarGateStructural Break AR Model (Autoregressive Model with Structural Breaks). Retrieved 2026-06-04 from https://scholargate.app/en/econometrics/structural-break-ar-model