Bayesian methodsBayesian / computational
Robust Monte Carlo Simulation
Robust Monte Carlo simulation extends standard Monte Carlo by explicitly accounting for uncertainty in input distributions, model structure, or parameter assumptions. Rather than assuming a single fixed probability distribution for each input, the analyst considers a family of plausible distributions and evaluates how sensitive the output is to those choices, yielding conclusions that hold across a range of reasonable assumptions.
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Sources
- Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M. & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470059975
- Rubinstein, R. Y. & Kroese, D. P. (2016). Simulation and the Monte Carlo Method (3rd ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118632161