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Έλεγχος ARCH-LM για Συσταδοποίηση Μεταβλητότητας×Γενικευμένη Αυτοπαλίνδρομη Υπό Συνθήκη Ετεροσκεδαστικότητα (GARCH)×GJR-GARCH (Ασύμμετρο GARCH)×
ΠεδίοΟικονομετρίαΟικονομετρίαΟικονομετρία
ΟικογένειαRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Έτος προέλευσης198219861993
ΔημιουργόςRobert F. EngleTim BollerslevGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994)
ΤύποςLagrange multiplier diagnostic test for conditional heteroscedasticityConditional volatility modelAsymmetric conditional volatility model
Θεμελιώδης πηγήEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςARCH-LM Testi ve Volatilite Kümelenmesi Analizi, ARCH LM test, Engle's ARCH test, test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticityGARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeliasymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle)
Συναφείς655
ΣύνοψηThe ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters into calm and turbulent periods, and it is the standard pre-test run before fitting a GARCH-family volatility model.GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns.GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994).
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: ARCH-LM Test · GARCH · GJR-GARCH. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-20 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare