Methoden vergleichen

	Zeitvariante Parameter Toda-Yamamoto-Kausalität	Vektorautoregressionsmodell (VAR)
Fachgebiet	Ökonometrie	Ökonometrie
Familie	Regression model	Regression model
Entstehungsjahr	1995 (base); TVP variant emerged early 2000s–2010s	2005
Urheber	Toda & Yamamoto (1995); TVP extension by subsequent applied econometricians	Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
Typ	Causality test (time-varying)	Multivariate time-series model
Wegweisende Quelle	Toda, H. Y., & Yamamoto, T. (1995). Statistical inference in vector autoregressions with possibly integrated processes. Journal of Econometrics, 66(1-2), 225-250.	Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer.
Aliasnamen	TVP-TY causality, time-varying Toda-Yamamoto, TVP Granger causality (Toda-Yamamoto), rolling/recursive Toda-Yamamoto causality	vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Verwandt	3	4
Zusammenfassung	The TVP Toda-Yamamoto causality test combines Toda and Yamamoto's (1995) augmented VAR approach — which handles possibly integrated or cointegrated series without pre-testing for unit roots — with time-varying parameters, allowing causal relationships between variables to shift across different periods rather than remaining fixed throughout the sample.	Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).