Methoden vergleichen

	Stochastisches Markov-Modell	Markov-Modell
Fachgebiet	Simulation	Simulation
Familie	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
Entstehungsjahr	1993	1906
Urheber	Markov, A. A. (probabilistic extension developed by Sonnenberg & Beck and others)	Andrei Markov
Typ	Probabilistic state-transition model with Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation	Probabilistic state-transition model
Wegweisende Quelle	Sonnenberg, F. A., & Beck, J. R. (1993). Markov models in medical decision making: A practical guide. Medical Decision Making, 13(4), 322–338.	Norris, J. R. (1997). Markov Chains. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN: 9780521633963
Aliasnamen	Probabilistic Markov Model, Stochastic Markov Chain, SMM, Monte Carlo Markov Model	Markov Chain, Discrete-Time Markov Chain, DTMC, Markov Process
Verwandt	6	5
Zusammenfassung	A Stochastic Markov Model is a simulation technique that represents a system as a set of mutually exclusive health or decision states, moves a cohort (or individual agents) through those states using probabilistically sampled transition parameters, and aggregates outcomes across thousands of Monte Carlo iterations to produce full probability distributions over costs, outcomes, or rankings rather than single point estimates.	A Markov Model represents a system as a finite set of states and specifies the probability of moving from one state to another at each time step. By capturing only the current state — not the full history — it enables tractable analysis of complex dynamic processes across health economics, engineering reliability, operations research, and social-science modeling.