Methoden vergleichen
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| Faktor-augmentierte Vektor-Autoregression (FAVAR)× | Markov-Regime-Switching-Modell (MS-AR / MS-VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Fachgebiet | Ökonometrie | Ökonometrie |
| Familie | Regression model | Regression model |
| Entstehungsjahr≠ | 2005 | 1989 |
| Urheber≠ | Bernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexes | Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999) |
| Typ≠ | Multivariate time-series model | Regime-switching time series model |
| Wegweisende Quelle≠ | Bernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗ | Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗ |
| Aliasnamen≠ | factor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR) | regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR |
| Verwandt≠ | 4 | 5 |
| Zusammenfassung≠ | FAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once. | The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions. |
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